Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.188194 0.217951 0.250871 0.289991 0.335222 0.385887 0.446967
2025-08-24 0.142801 0.183034 0.232191 0.296683 0.379120 0.481055 0.616845
2025-08-31 0.116551 0.160255 0.217451 0.297815 0.407934 0.553748 0.761911
2025-09-07 0.099794 0.145298 0.208283 0.301870 0.437590 0.627624 0.914686
2025-09-14 0.084496 0.129278 0.194341 0.295815 0.450381 0.677528 1.037875
2025-09-21 0.073522 0.117588 0.184451 0.293351 0.466685 0.732678 1.173570
2025-09-28 0.065856 0.109681 0.178865 0.296098 0.490341 0.800441 1.335464
2025-10-05 0.061908 0.107049 0.180973 0.310925 0.534407 0.904503 1.567219
2025-10-12 0.057605 0.103168 0.180386 0.320873 0.571036 0.999760 1.794642
2025-10-19 0.053499 0.099038 0.178752 0.328556 0.604214 1.092150 2.026999
2025-10-26 0.049208 0.093999 0.174845 0.331519 0.628940 1.171788 2.244745
2025-11-02 0.044540 0.087664 0.167810 0.327744 0.640501 1.228263 2.425010
2025-11-09 0.039438 0.079977 0.157552 0.316955 0.638066 1.259413 2.562682
2025-11-16 0.037019 0.077295 0.156593 0.324266 0.671966 1.364225 2.858965
2025-11-23 0.034211 0.073462 0.152887 0.325503 0.693560 1.446695 3.118849
2025-11-30 0.032023 0.070644 0.150879 0.329936 0.722098 1.546008 3.425095
2025-12-07 0.029058 0.065796 0.144084 0.323317 0.726161 1.594348 3.626451
2025-12-14 0.026747 0.062110 0.139352 0.320624 0.738406 1.661294 3.876463
2025-12-21 0.025112 0.059761 0.137278 0.323626 0.763710 1.759468 4.208698
2025-12-28 0.024573 0.059894 0.140777 0.339834 0.821234 1.936237 4.744912
2026-01-04 0.023677 0.059068 0.141971 0.350708 0.867332 2.091447 5.247343
2026-01-11 0.022675 0.057865 0.142139 0.359107 0.908341 2.238906 5.747721
2026-01-18 0.021434 0.055920 0.140311 0.362346 0.936907 2.359266 6.193869